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名人堂45号——杰弗里·斯普拉格

杰弗里•斯普拉格(Jeffrey Sprague)选择了一个糟糕的时机加入卖方:“那是在1987年10月崩盘之后——绝对不是做分析师的好时机,尤其是刚大学毕业的时候,”他表示。斯普拉格毕业于阿克伦大学,获得金融学学士学位。他解释说:“我必须参加一门投资课程,这是获得学位的必要条件,那是我找到真正使命的地方。”“从那以后,我就迷上了投资。”投资者已经被他吸引住了。斯普拉格在Paine Webber公司找到了一份工作,并在1994年首次加入全美研究团队,在家用电器领域获得亚军。他曾有几年跌出排行榜,但在1997年重返榜单,这次是代表Cowen and Co公司在电气设备专业排名第三。此后的每一年他都被排名,直到2010年,共18次上榜,其中11次排名第一。2002年(当时他在花旗集团/所罗门美邦(Salomon Smith Barney)工作),他在两个行业中排名第一,电气设备和多行业;第二年,两家公司合并了。50岁的斯普拉格在他的职业生涯中赢得了很多胜利,但有两场比赛尤为突出。 In 2002, on the day that scandal-ridden and financially shaky Tyco International tapped Edward Breen to be its new CEO, the analyst upgraded the stock to buy. “Our work on the balance sheet and economics of its ADT Security Services division highlighted the underlying value, and the stock quadrupled over the next two years,” he says. More recently, in April 2007, Sprague published a report explaining why he thought General Electric Co. should divest itself of noncore operations such as consumer finance and real estate. “Evidence is mounting that GE is too big and complex to manage effectively,” he wrote. His advice fell on deaf ears. “They didn’t do it and experienced a severe earnings decline and liquidity crisis in the 2008–’09 downturn as a result,” he says. Sprague left Citi last year to help start a boutique. Growing frustrated with the poor management and conflicts at the big firms, but still having a passion for research, he launched Vertical Research Partners with Nicole Parent, a former global industrial sector head at Credit Suisse. The Stamford, Connecticut–based firm employs 18 analysts covering six sectors.

斯普拉格将他的成功归因于自律和对工作的热情。“分析师很容易迷失在杂草中,”他表示。“防止这种情况发生的方法是深入挖掘并获取细节,然后后退一步,看看这些细节会带来什么更大的图景。否则,你只是在追逐某种东西,谁也不知道它会通向哪里。”

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